Trump’s Crypto Strategy: Analyzing Kelleher’s Critique of Its Lack of Reserve Value & Effectiveness

2 min read

Dennis Kelleher Op-ed in Barron’s: Trump’s Crypto Plan Is Neither Strategic Nor a Reserve

Concerns About Trump’s Strategic Crypto Reserve Proposal

Recently, former President Donald Trump unveiled a plan to establish what he refers to as a “strategic crypto reserve.” This initiative raises significant questions regarding its economic rationale and poses potential risks for American taxpayers, who may ultimately bear the brunt of this strategy without experiencing any tangible benefits. Initially, the reserve is set to be financed by assets acquired through civil and criminal forfeiture, with future funding sources to be determined through unspecified “budget-neutral strategies,” according to statements from the White House. This reserve will not only encompass bitcoin, the most recognized cryptocurrency, but will also include a variety of other digital currencies like Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Cardano. Following Trump’s announcement, these cryptocurrencies experienced a notable spike in their market values.

Questionable Benefits for Average Americans

It remains unclear how this reserve would provide any advantages to the average American. Instead, it seems poised to benefit wealthy crypto investors, many of whom have financially supported Trump’s political endeavors and his allies in Congress. The creation of such a reserve appears to cater to the interests of these crypto billionaires by fostering demand for these digital currencies, potentially at the expense of the general public.

Intrinsic Value of Cryptocurrencies Under Scrutiny

The foundational premise behind the proposed reserve is fundamentally flawed. Cryptocurrencies lack inherent value, practical applications, or legitimate uses in commerce. Unlike traditional commodities such as gold or oil, which possess established value and usability, cryptocurrencies are often associated with speculation, gambling, and nefarious activities, including money laundering, ransomware attacks, tax evasion, and funding for terrorist organizations. For instance, North Korea is reported to have stolen $1.5 billion in cryptocurrency, allegedly to support its nuclear ambitions, as noted by the FBI. This lack of intrinsic value raises doubts about the appropriateness of including cryptocurrencies in a national reserve.

Concerns Over Volatility and Risk

The inherent volatility of cryptocurrencies and their cyclical nature of boom and bust make them an unsuitable option for safeguarding national assets. The potential for substantial financial losses poses a significant risk to taxpayer funds. Although the White House asserts that the crypto holdings will not be sold, this claim either lacks credibility or indicates that the initiative does not qualify as a true reserve. Strategic reserves are typically established to maintain essential resources that can be deployed during emergencies affecting national interests. For instance, oil serves a crucial role in the U.S. economy, and the strategic oil reserve exists to ensure stability during supply disruptions.

Absence of Strategic Necessity for Crypto

There is no compelling strategic rationale for including cryptocurrencies in a reserve. The purpose of strategic reserves is to stockpile resources during stable periods to stabilize prices during crises. In contrast, cryptocurrency holders generally seek price appreciation. This creates a scenario where pressure mounts on the government to expand the reserve rather than release assets, which would likely lower prices.

Risk of Future Taxpayer Bailouts

Trump’s initiative could artificially inflate demand for cryptocurrencies, leading to temporary price increases driven by the fear of missing out (FOMO) among retail investors and institutions alike. Historical precedents indicate that such price manipulations can culminate in market crashes, as seen with the derivatives market before the 2008 financial crisis. Working-class individuals are likely to suffer the most when the cryptocurrency bubble bursts, potentially destabilizing the broader economy.

Potential Ripple Effects Across States

Furthermore, this proposal might inspire other states and private sectors to pursue similar crypto reserve strategies. Legislators in 18 states have already begun to consider analogous measures, with some proposing to utilize pension funds for establishing crypto reserves. These pension funds, aimed at securing the financial futures of American workers, would become vulnerable to the unpredictable nature of the cryptocurrency market. Corporations like MicroStrategy are also heavily investing in bitcoin, thereby fueling demand and contributing to price inflation, despite the absence of legitimate applications for cryptocurrencies.

The Dark Side of Crypto

The cryptocurrency space is rife with illegal activities, including scams and ransomware attacks, which have harmed millions within the United States and beyond. Public sentiment reflects a growing skepticism towards cryptocurrencies, as evidenced by recent polls. For instance, 69% of likely voters in key swing states expressed a negative opinion of crypto during the presidential race. Additionally, an FDIC survey indicated that only 4.8% of U.S. households engaged with cryptocurrencies in the past year, while just 1% reported using them for purchases or payments in 2023, according to the Federal Reserve.

A Call for Regulation and Stability

In summary, this proposal appears both unnecessary and hazardous. The U.S. government would be better served by focusing on effective regulation of cryptocurrencies, combating ransomware, and prosecuting crypto-related crimes. Protecting taxpayer interests and maintaining financial system stability should be the priority moving forward.